COIN Coinbase Global Inc

Previous close
$148.68
Est. 12 months change
+24.47%
Projected Price
$185.43

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
-0.37%
Return on Assets (ROA)
2.33%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
3.79%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
19.51%
ROIC - WACC
-15.72%
Updated : 2026-08-10 19:03 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
917.84
Forward P/E
524.22
PEG Ratio
8.38
Debt Current Ratio
2.42

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
79.28%
Operating Margin
9.53%
FCF Margin
27.82%
TTM Revenue Growth
9.40%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
75.09%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
-5.89%
Price % from 200 SMA
-38.29%
6 Months
-53.92%
1 Year
-6.28%
2 Years
-30.26%
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Analysis

Company Overview

Coinbase is the leading publicly traded cryptocurrency exchange in the United States, offering trading, custody, and financial infrastructure for digital assets. Sector: Financials.

Overview

Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Assessing the quality of returns on invested capital, ROIC is 3.79%, WACC is 19.51%, and the economic spread is -15.72%. On balance, the company is not clearing their capital cost hurdle, meaning reinvestment may be diluting rather than compounding value. Supporting metrics show ROE at -0.37% and ROA at 2.33%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that likely needs operating improvement before returns quality can be considered durable.

Valuation

The current pricing of the company reads trailing P/E of 917.84, forward P/E of 524.22, PEG of 8.38. A meaningful compression from trailing to forward P/E implies analysts are projecting earnings growth that could re-rate the company favorably if delivered. The PEG reading here is above the range most value-oriented investors would find comfortable — the valuation requires a high degree of confidence in forward earnings delivery. The current ratio of 2.42 is in an acceptable range, reflecting reasonable short-term financial health. In aggregate, the valuation reads as fair to moderately stretched — leaving the investment case dependent on earnings execution rather than multiple expansion.

Margins & Cash Generation

Looking at margins from gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 79.28%, operating margin at 9.53%, and free cash flow margin at 27.82%. The gross margin here is a standout, pointing to businesses with durable unit economics and limited commodity exposure. Modest operating margins indicate that while revenues are being generated, converting them to earnings is less efficient. Outstanding free cash flow margins signal businesses that convert revenues into cash at rates that support both reinvestment and shareholder returns. Margins indicate a company that is operating effectively in some areas while still showing efficiency gaps in others.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Projected 12-month EPS growth of 75.1% adds a powerful forward signal — analyst consensus expects earnings to accelerate materially, which, if delivered, could make current multiples look increasingly modest. Zooming out from the valuation discussion, TTM revenue growth of 9.40% pointing to stable operational progress without outsized acceleration, while the estimated 12-month price change of 24.72%, where target prices point to mid-range appreciation potential from current levels. Anchoring to reported revenues provides discipline; analyst price targets add context about how the market currently values that operating reality. The path to realizing analyst-implied returns runs through revenue execution, margin stability, and a macro environment that doesn't undermine either. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Hold

The fundamental picture is not broken, but neither is it clearly compelling — a hold posture reflects the absence of an obvious catalyst for re-rating in either direction.

This summary is based on publicly available quantitative data and is not intended as investment advice. Carefully consider your personal financial circumstances before making any decisions.