CSX CSX

Dividend
1.15%
Previous close
$45.90
Est. 12 months change
-0.22%
Projected Price
$45.80

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
23.75%
Return on Assets (ROA)
7.05%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
10.47%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
10.15%
ROIC - WACC
0.32%
Updated : 2026-05-21 20:06 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
28.19
Forward P/E
23.74
PEG Ratio
3.20
Debt Current Ratio
0.97

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
40.72%
Operating Margin
34.93%
FCF Margin
13.45%
TTM Revenue Growth
1.72%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
18.76%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
2.64%
Price % from 200 SMA
13.87%
6 Months
15.88%
1 Year
38.60%
2 Years
12.90%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing CSX as a top holding :CSX ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

CSX Corporation operates one of the largest freight railroad networks in the eastern United States, transporting coal, chemicals, agricultural products, and intermodal freight. Sector: Industrials.

Overview

CSX (CSX) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Through the lens of capital efficiency, ROIC is 10.47%, WACC is 10.15%, and the economic spread is 0.32%. On balance, ROIC edges above WACC, suggesting the company are value-creative in aggregate, if not dramatically so. Supporting metrics show ROE at 23.75% and ROA at 7.05%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that is value-creative but with less room for execution slippage.

Valuation

From a market pricing perspective, trailing P/E of 28.19, forward P/E of 23.74, PEG of 3.20. With trailing and forward P/E closely aligned, the market appears to be pricing the company on the assumption that earnings remain broadly stable near term. On a growth-adjusted basis, the company carries a premium valuation relative to its growth rate. The company's weighted current ratio of 0.97 suggests near-term liquidity is more constrained than average. The overall valuation picture is one where the market is paying for a specific earnings and growth outcome — and where any deviation from that path would likely pressure multiples.

Margins & Cash Generation

The margin profile breaks down as follows: gross margin sits at 40.72%, operating margin at 34.93%, and free cash flow margin at 13.45%. Gross margins are in good shape, suggesting the the company maintain pricing discipline at the revenue-to-cost interface. Operating margins are exceptional, indicating management teams that scale revenues while keeping costs tightly controlled. The company's FCF margin is adequate — cash generation is present, but capital expenditure needs absorb a notable portion of earnings. This stack calls for monitoring: profitability is present, but conversion from revenue to operating income to free cash is not fully consistent.

Growth & Forward Outlook

The near-term directional case rests on two inputs: TTM revenue growth of 1.72% indicating muted but still positive top-line momentum across the company. In parallel, analyst price targets collectively imply a decline from current levels based on current consensus targets. The two figures measure different things — one reflects what businesses are actually delivering, the other what the market expects them to deliver. The extent to which these signals converge or diverge will likely be a primary driver of realized returns relative to current expectations. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Hold

Overall, the data supports holding rather than acting — the profile is functional but not exceptional, and the next leg up depends on delivery against uncertain forward estimates.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.