CTRA Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Previous close
$157.40
Est. 12 months change
-
Projected Price
-

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
4.45%
Return on Assets (ROA)
2.27%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
4.30%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
6.28%
ROIC - WACC
-1.98%
Updated : 2026-07-01 18:32 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
24.66
Forward P/E
22.63
PEG Ratio
0.63
Debt Current Ratio
2.34

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
38.55%
Operating Margin
15.64%
FCF Margin
13.96%
TTM Revenue Growth
2.26%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
8.97%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
10.13%
Price % from 200 SMA
30.51%
6 Months
49.29%
1 Year
19.21%
2 Years
22.12%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing CTRA as a top holding :CTRA ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

Coterra Energy is an oil and gas exploration and production company with core positions in the Permian Basin, Marcellus Shale, and Anadarko Basin. Sector: Energy.

Overview

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc (CTRA) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

On the question of capital productivity, ROIC is 4.30%, WACC is 6.28%, and the economic spread is -1.98%. On balance, the spread between returns and funding costs is negative — a dynamic that pressures intrinsic value unless operating performance improves. Supporting metrics show ROE at 4.45% and ROA at 2.27%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that likely needs operating improvement before returns quality can be considered durable.

Valuation

From a market pricing perspective, trailing P/E of 24.66, forward P/E of 22.63, PEG of 0.63. With trailing and forward P/E closely aligned, the market appears to be pricing the company on the assumption that earnings remain broadly stable near term. The PEG ratio suggests the market may be underpricing the company's growth trajectory relative to its current multiple. The company carries an aggregate current ratio of 2.34, consistent with adequate near-term liquidity management. The overall valuation picture is one where the market is paying for a specific earnings and growth outcome — and where any deviation from that path would likely pressure multiples.

Margins & Cash Generation

The margin stack reads as follows: gross margin sits at 38.55%, operating margin at 15.64%, and free cash flow margin at 13.96%. Gross margins are in the moderate range, typical of sectors where direct costs consume a larger share of revenue. The company's operating margins are solid, pointing to overhead management that appears to be a relative strength. FCF margins are in a reasonable range, though there is room for improvement in how efficiently revenues convert to free cash. The profile is not weak, but it is uneven enough that execution and cost control remain central to the forward case.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Looking at what the underlying business is delivering operationally, TTM revenue growth of 2.26% indicating muted but still positive top-line momentum across the company. Analyst estimates point to EPS growth of 9.0%, suggesting steady earnings progress that supports the current multiple on a forward basis. Top-line momentum is the clearest available signal here, reflecting underlying business activity before any forward-looking assumptions are layered on. Whether this revenue momentum sustains will depend as much on the macro backdrop as on the capacity of the underlying business to continue executing.

Conclusion

Hold

There is enough quality in the profile to avoid outright concern, but not enough uniform strength to take high conviction in a direction. Patience has merit here.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.