CVX Chevron

Dividend
3.65%
Previous close
$191.33
Est. 12 months change
+4.74%
Projected Price
$200.49

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
6.54%
Return on Assets (ROA)
3.58%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
4.04%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
6.96%
ROIC - WACC
-2.92%
Updated : 2026-05-20 17:59 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
33.74
Forward P/E
13.29
PEG Ratio
1.27
Debt Current Ratio
1.09

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
36.33%
Operating Margin
8.56%
FCF Margin
7.42%
TTM Revenue Growth
3.16%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
153.79%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
5.73%
Price % from 200 SMA
22.48%
6 Months
29.73%
1 Year
19.52%
2 Years
24.53%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing CVX as a top holding :Chevron ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

Chevron is one of the world's integrated energy companies, producing oil and natural gas while expanding into lower-carbon energy and hydrogen. Sector: Energy.

Overview

Chevron (CVX) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Assessing the quality of returns on invested capital, ROIC is 4.04%, WACC is 6.96%, and the economic spread is -2.92%. On balance, the company is not clearing their capital cost hurdle, meaning reinvestment may be diluting rather than compounding value. Supporting metrics show ROE at 6.54% and ROA at 3.58%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that likely needs operating improvement before returns quality can be considered durable.

Valuation

The company's current market valuation reflects trailing P/E of 33.74, forward P/E of 13.29, PEG of 1.27. Forward P/E is significantly below trailing, indicating that consensus expects earnings to grow — making the company appear cheaper when viewed on anticipated profits. On a PEG basis, the company screens as attractively priced relative to its expected earnings growth. The current ratio of 1.09 is below average, suggesting some the company may face tighter short-term financial conditions. Across multiples and liquidity, the company is priced in a way that reflects current expectations reasonably well — leaving limited room for error, but also limited near-term downside from valuation compression alone.

Margins & Cash Generation

Looking at margins from gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 36.33%, operating margin at 8.56%, and free cash flow margin at 7.42%. The gross margin reading is middling — acceptable, but leaving less room for error at the production level. Modest operating margins indicate that while revenues are being generated, converting them to earnings is less efficient. The company's cash conversion is middle-of-the-road — sufficient for operational needs, but leaving limited surplus for discretionary allocation. Margins indicate a company that is operating effectively in some areas while still showing efficiency gaps in others.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Projected 12-month EPS growth of 153.8% adds a powerful forward signal — analyst consensus expects earnings to accelerate materially, which, if delivered, could make current multiples look increasingly modest. Turning to growth and analyst expectations, TTM revenue growth of 3.16% indicating muted but still positive top-line momentum across the company, while the estimated 12-month price change of 4.79%, where street expectations indicate a low-ceiling return setup in the near term. The distinction matters: revenue growth tells you what the company are doing, price targets tell you what analysts think the market will pay for it. Ultimately, the alignment between revenue momentum and analyst targets will depend on execution quality and the broader rate and sentiment environment. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Hold

The fundamental picture is not broken, but neither is it clearly compelling — a hold posture reflects the absence of an obvious catalyst for re-rating in either direction.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.