DAL Delta Air Lines Inc

Dividend
0.81%
Previous close
$92.11
Est. 12 months change
+5.66%
Projected Price
$97.38

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
24.54%
Return on Assets (ROA)
4.96%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
8.60%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
8.91%
ROIC - WACC
-0.32%
Updated : 2026-06-25 19:07 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
13.44
Forward P/E
16.16
PEG Ratio
1.00
Debt Current Ratio
0.42

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
21.74%
Operating Margin
8.72%
FCF Margin
6.02%
TTM Revenue Growth
12.92%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
-16.87%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
1.61%
Price % from 200 SMA
9.67%
6 Months
16.96%
1 Year
53.93%
2 Years
42.35%
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Analysis

Company Overview

Delta Air Lines is one of the largest US carriers, offering domestic and international passenger and cargo service with premium brand positioning. Sector: Industrials.

Overview

Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Assessing the quality of returns on invested capital, ROIC is 8.60%, WACC is 8.91%, and the economic spread is -0.32%. On balance, the company is not clearing their capital cost hurdle, meaning reinvestment may be diluting rather than compounding value. Supporting metrics show ROE at 24.54% and ROA at 4.96%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that likely needs operating improvement before returns quality can be considered durable.

Valuation

The market currently prices the company at trailing P/E of 13.44, forward P/E of 16.16, PEG of 1.00. The gap between P/E and forward P/E is small, suggesting the valuation is not contingent on a near-term earnings step-change. The PEG ratio points to a company where growth is not yet fully priced in — a setup that historically tends to be favorable for forward returns. The current ratio of 0.42 is below average, suggesting some the company may face tighter short-term financial conditions. Valuation and liquidity together frame a company where the price paid today is a reasonable bet on earnings delivery — but not a margin-of-safety purchase at current levels.

Margins & Cash Generation

Looking at margins from gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 21.74%, operating margin at 8.72%, and free cash flow margin at 6.02%. The gross margin reading is middling — acceptable, but leaving less room for error at the production level. Modest operating margins indicate that while revenues are being generated, converting them to earnings is less efficient. The company's cash conversion is middle-of-the-road — sufficient for operational needs, but leaving limited surplus for discretionary allocation. Margins indicate a company that is operating effectively in some areas while still showing efficiency gaps in others.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Projected 12-month EPS growth of -16.9% is a meaningful caution flag — declining earnings expectations add pressure to the valuation case and limit the margin of safety. Turning to growth and analyst expectations, TTM revenue growth of 12.92% pointing to stable operational progress without outsized acceleration, while the estimated 12-month price change of 5.72%, where street expectations indicate a low-ceiling return setup in the near term. The distinction matters: revenue growth tells you what the company are doing, price targets tell you what analysts think the market will pay for it. Ultimately, the alignment between revenue momentum and analyst targets will depend on execution quality and the broader rate and sentiment environment. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Hold

The fundamental picture is not broken, but neither is it clearly compelling — a hold posture reflects the absence of an obvious catalyst for re-rating in either direction.

The analysis above draws from quantitative data only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. Investors should conduct independent research and consider professional guidance before acting on any information presented here.