HSY The Hershey Co

Dividend
2.92%
Previous close
$194.78
Est. 12 months change
+11.05%
Projected Price
$216.52

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
23.44%
Return on Assets (ROA)
7.89%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
12.86%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
4.40%
ROIC - WACC
8.46%
Updated : 2026-05-22 18:40 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
35.86
Forward P/E
22.13
PEG Ratio
4.44
Debt Current Ratio
1.24

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
35.03%
Operating Margin
14.46%
FCF Margin
15.76%
TTM Revenue Growth
10.65%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
62.02%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
-6.04%
Price % from 200 SMA
6.43%
6 Months
9.08%
1 Year
25.76%
2 Years
2.81%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing HSY as a top holding :The Hershey Co ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

The Hershey Company is a leading candy and snack producer, with a portfolio of iconic brands including Hershey's, Reese's, and Kit Kat in North America. Sector: Consumer Staples.

Overview

The Hershey Co (HSY) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Examining the company through a capital allocation lens, ROIC is 12.86%, WACC is 4.40%, and the economic spread is 8.46%. On balance, the company is generating returns above their cost of capital, though the margin is slim enough to warrant attention. Supporting metrics show ROE at 23.44% and ROA at 7.89%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that is value-creative but with less room for execution slippage.

Valuation

Turning to how the market is pricing the underlying earnings, trailing P/E of 35.86, forward P/E of 22.13, PEG of 4.44. The forward multiple comes in well below the trailing figure, reflecting analyst expectations for earnings acceleration across the company. On a growth-adjusted basis, the company is expensive — the current multiple requires strong earnings delivery to be justified on conventional valuation metrics. The aggregate current ratio of 1.24 reflects tighter near-term liquidity — a factor worth monitoring if macro conditions tighten. The combined picture across P/E, forward P/E, PEG, and current ratio suggests a company that is priced for continued execution — where disappointment would be costly and outperformance would likely require positive earnings surprises.

Margins & Cash Generation

From gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 35.03%, operating margin at 14.46%, and free cash flow margin at 15.76%. At this gross margin level, pricing power is present but not dominant — cost management matters as much as revenue growth. Operating margins are thin enough to warrant attention — businesses at this level are more exposed to cost inflation. The company's FCF margin is above average, pointing to the company with efficient capital deployment and durable cash generation. The margin profile is mixed, with some layers more resilient than others and less room for execution slippage.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Combining revenue momentum with analyst targets, the estimated 12-month price change of 11.16%, where consensus expectations favor gradual appreciation over the next year, while TTM revenue growth of 10.65% reflecting moderate but reliable revenue progress across the company. Separating operating reality from market-implied expectations is useful here — they can diverge meaningfully when sentiment shifts. The forward return case hinges on whether the operating reality stays close enough to analyst assumptions for those targets to remain credible. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Buy

The fundamental case holds up across most key dimensions — the combination of positive economic spread, reasonable valuation, and analyst support is constructive.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.