HSY The Hershey Co

Dividend
3.36%
Previous close
$164.41
Est. 12 months change
+17.46%
Projected Price
$193.41

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
32.58%
Return on Assets (ROA)
10.38%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
16.53%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
4.87%
ROIC - WACC
11.66%
Updated : 2026-09-28 18:43 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
23.38
Forward P/E
17.31
PEG Ratio
3.03
Debt Current Ratio
1.18

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
38.16%
Operating Margin
17.87%
FCF Margin
18.01%
TTM Revenue Growth
6.60%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
35.06%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
-5.72%
Price % from 200 SMA
-13.60%
6 Months
-22.81%
1 Year
-15.49%
2 Years
-12.96%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing HSY as a top holding :The Hershey Co ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

The Hershey Company is a leading candy and snack producer, with a portfolio of iconic brands including Hershey's, Reese's, and Kit Kat in North America. Sector: Consumer Staples.

Overview

The Hershey Co (HSY) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Examining the company through a capital allocation lens, ROIC is 16.53%, WACC is 4.87%, and the economic spread is 11.66%. On balance, the spread between ROIC and WACC is solidly positive — reinvestment is adding value rather than diluting it. Supporting metrics show ROE at 32.58% and ROA at 10.38%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company with credible compounding capacity if current operating execution persists.

Valuation

Turning to how the market is pricing the underlying earnings, trailing P/E of 23.38, forward P/E of 17.31, PEG of 3.03. A moderate trailing-to-forward spread implies earnings growth is anticipated, though the scale of expected improvement is not dramatic. On a growth-adjusted basis, the company is expensive — the current multiple requires strong earnings delivery to be justified on conventional valuation metrics. The aggregate current ratio of 1.18 reflects tighter near-term liquidity — a factor worth monitoring if macro conditions tighten. The combined picture across P/E, forward P/E, PEG, and current ratio suggests a company that is priced for continued execution — where disappointment would be costly and outperformance would likely require positive earnings surprises.

Margins & Cash Generation

From gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 38.16%, operating margin at 17.87%, and free cash flow margin at 18.01%. At this gross margin level, pricing power is present but not dominant — cost management matters as much as revenue growth. The operating margin reading is healthy — adequate to support reinvestment without sacrificing profitability. The company's FCF margin is above average, pointing to the company with efficient capital deployment and durable cash generation. The margin profile is mixed, with some layers more resilient than others and less room for execution slippage.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Combining revenue momentum with analyst targets, the estimated 12-month price change of 17.64%, where consensus expectations favor gradual appreciation over the next year, while TTM revenue growth of 6.60% reflecting moderate but reliable revenue progress across the company. Separating operating reality from market-implied expectations is useful here — they can diverge meaningfully when sentiment shifts. The forward return case hinges on whether the operating reality stays close enough to analyst assumptions for those targets to remain credible. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Buy

The fundamental case holds up across most key dimensions — the combination of positive economic spread, reasonable valuation, and analyst support is constructive.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.