JD

Dividend
3.46%
Previous close
$28.93
Est. 12 months change
+34.00%
Projected Price
$38.86

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
8.02%
Return on Assets (ROA)
1.56%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
1.25%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
5.33%
ROIC - WACC
-4.08%
Updated : 2026-04-11 11:47 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
16.13
Forward P/E
9.77
PEG Ratio
2.51
Debt Current Ratio
1.22

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
12.68%
Operating Margin
0.28%
FCF Margin
1.31%
TTM Revenue Growth
1.53%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
65.16%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing JD as a top holding :JD ETFs

Analysis

Overview

JD ETF (JD) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Through the lens of capital efficiency, ROIC is 1.25%, WACC is 5.33%, and the economic spread is -4.08%. On balance, the gap between operating returns and funding costs is unfavorable — a structural challenge that typically weighs on intrinsic value over time. Supporting metrics show ROE at 8.02% and ROA at 1.56%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that likely needs operating improvement before returns quality can be considered durable.

Valuation

From a market pricing perspective, trailing P/E of 16.13, forward P/E of 9.77, PEG of 2.51. A modest gap between trailing and forward multiples implies the market is pricing incremental earnings improvement rather than a step-change in profitability. On a growth-adjusted basis, the company carries a premium valuation relative to its growth rate. The company's weighted current ratio of 1.22 suggests near-term liquidity is more constrained than average. The overall valuation picture is one where the market is paying for a specific earnings and growth outcome — and where any deviation from that path would likely pressure multiples.

Margins & Cash Generation

The margin profile breaks down as follows: gross margin sits at 12.68%, operating margin at 0.28%, and free cash flow margin at 1.31%. The gross margin reading points to the company with structurally thin production economics — a feature of volume-driven or commoditized business models. Operating margins are very thin or negative, indicating the company is spending heavily relative to revenues. The company's FCF margin is minimal, suggesting the company are heavily reinvesting or facing meaningful capex demands. This stack calls for monitoring: profitability is present, but conversion from revenue to operating income to free cash is not fully consistent.

Growth & Forward Outlook

The near-term directional case rests on two inputs: TTM revenue growth of 1.53% indicating muted but still positive top-line momentum across the company. In parallel, analyst consensus projects significant upside from current levels based on current consensus targets. The two figures measure different things — one reflects what businesses are actually delivering, the other what the market expects them to deliver. The extent to which these signals converge or diverge will likely be a primary driver of realized returns relative to current expectations. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Buy

The data points reviewed collectively point toward a positive outcome if execution holds — the setup is favorable even accounting for the inherent uncertainty in forward estimates.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.