LST Leuthold Select Industries ETF

Leuthold Select Industries ETF (LST) currently reports 108 stock positions (subject to change), placing it in the broadly constructed range by holdings breadth. The top line-up is MCK (2.14%), GS (2.06%), CAH (2.04%), with MCK as the largest single weight at 2.14%. Together, the top three holdings account for 6.24%, which suggests the fund is not overly reliant on its largest positions to generate returns. The fund's architecture positions it to benefit from strength in its top holdings while the broader basket provides a degree of insulation against single-name shocks.

Looking at how effectively the underlying holdings deploy capital, ROIC is 22.12%, WACC is 8.14%, and the economic spread is 13.98%. On balance, returns on invested capital exceed the cost of funding by a comfortable margin, which over time compounds favorably for long-term holders. Supporting metrics show ROE at 24.36% and ROA at 7.83%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a portfolio with credible compounding capacity if current operating execution persists.

From a pricing standpoint, the portfolio sits at trailing P/E of 18.54, forward P/E of 14.35, PEG of 1.60. The narrow spread between trailing and forward multiples implies earnings expectations are relatively stable — the portfolio is not being priced for an earnings inflection. The growth-adjusted multiple is neither a strong buy signal nor a clear warning — it sits in the range where execution quality will determine whether the price is ultimately justified. A current ratio reading of 1.66 points to holdings that are managing short-term obligations without apparent stress. In total, the multiple and liquidity readings describe a portfolio where valuation is a secondary risk relative to earnings delivery — the numbers are defensible if estimates hold.

Across the three margin layers, gross margin sits at 42.06%, operating margin at 17.95%, and free cash flow margin at 14.64%. Gross margins sit in a healthy range, consistent with businesses that manage input costs effectively. Operating margins are in good shape, consistent with businesses that maintain reasonable earnings conversion after overhead. At this level, free cash flow generation is present but not a defining strength of the portfolio's underlying businesses. Read together, these margin levels suggest a portfolio where earnings durability is present in parts but not consistent across the full holding set.

On a forward-looking basis, TTM revenue growth of 13.79% a signal of steady demand without the volatility of high-growth names, while the estimated 12-month price change of 13.49%, where the target distribution indicates incremental upside rather than outsized repricing. Revenue growth and price targets are correlated but not the same — strong operations do not always translate to strong price appreciation, and vice versa. The forward return case rests on whether the businesses can sustain their operating trajectory long enough for analyst price targets to be reached or exceeded. The estimated 12-month price change is a weighted composite of analyst price target estimates adjusted by each holding's ETF weight, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Balancing the strengths against the areas of uncertainty, the weight of evidence favors an optimistic view with appropriate risk awareness.

These findings are based solely on the metrics presented and do not constitute an investment recommendation. Always perform your own due diligence before committing capital.