MCD McDonald's

Dividend
2.36%
Previous close
$307.14
Est. 12 months change
+12.57%
Projected Price
$346.15

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
-
Return on Assets (ROA)
14.11%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
18.25%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
6.45%
ROIC - WACC
11.80%
Updated : 2026-04-04 05:45 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
25.70
Forward P/E
23.18
PEG Ratio
3.01
Debt Current Ratio
0.95

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
57.41%
Operating Margin
46.10%
FCF Margin
26.73%
TTM Revenue Growth
9.72%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
10.86%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
-4.41%
Price % from 200 SMA
-0.45%
6 Months
2.42%
1 Year
-1.42%
2 Years
10.59%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing MCD as a top holding :McDonald's ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

McDonald's is the world's largest fast food chain, operating and franchising restaurants in over 100 countries with a globally recognized menu. Sector: Consumer Discretionary.

Overview

McDonald's (MCD) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Examining the company through a capital allocation lens, ROIC is 18.25%, WACC is 6.45%, and the economic spread is 11.80%. On balance, the spread between ROIC and WACC is solidly positive — reinvestment is adding value rather than diluting it. Supporting metrics show ROE at N/A and ROA at 14.11%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company with credible compounding capacity if current operating execution persists.

Valuation

Multiple analysis puts the company at trailing P/E of 25.70, forward P/E of 23.18, PEG of 3.01. Trailing and forward multiples are nearly identical, indicating the market is pricing the company on a relatively static earnings assumption. Growth-adjusted, the company is priced at a premium — a level that demands consistent execution and limits the potential for multiple expansion from here. The aggregate current ratio of 0.95 reflects tighter near-term liquidity — a factor worth monitoring if macro conditions tighten. The combined valuation and liquidity profile points to a company where current prices embed meaningful growth expectations, and where delivery against those expectations will drive the return outcome.

Margins & Cash Generation

From gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 57.41%, operating margin at 46.10%, and free cash flow margin at 26.73%. At this gross margin level, the the company demonstrate adequate production efficiency without commanding premium pricing. The company's operating margins are well above average, pointing to businesses that manage the full cost stack with discipline. At this level, FCF margins reflect a company with genuine capital efficiency and strong cash-based earnings quality. Taken together, this margin profile points to a company with durable economics and dependable cash generation capacity.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Combining revenue momentum with analyst targets, the estimated 12-month price change of 12.70%, where consensus expectations favor gradual appreciation over the next year, while TTM revenue growth of 9.72% reflecting moderate but reliable revenue progress across the company. Separating operating reality from market-implied expectations is useful here — they can diverge meaningfully when sentiment shifts. The forward return case hinges on whether the operating reality stays close enough to analyst assumptions for those targets to remain credible. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Buy

The fundamental case holds up across most key dimensions — the combination of positive economic spread, reasonable valuation, and analyst support is constructive.

The analysis above draws from quantitative data only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. Investors should conduct independent research and consider professional guidance before acting on any information presented here.