MOH Molina Healthcare Inc

Previous close
$195.76
Est. 12 months change
+6.64%
Projected Price
$208.90

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
0.01%
Return on Assets (ROA)
0.60%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
2.67%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
7.63%
ROIC - WACC
-4.97%
Updated : 2026-10-08 18:20 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
19.55
Forward P/E
23.68
PEG Ratio
19.68
Debt Current Ratio
5.84

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
8.43%
Operating Margin
0.69%
FCF Margin
0.62%
TTM Revenue Growth
11.75%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
-17.45%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
-1.08%
Price % from 200 SMA
7.35%
6 Months
32.67%
1 Year
-3.53%
2 Years
-39.75%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing MOH as a top holding :MOH ETFs

Analysis

Overview

Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Examining the company through a capital allocation lens, ROIC is 2.67%, WACC is 7.63%, and the economic spread is -4.97%. On balance, the economic spread is negative, indicating that at current return levels, reinvestment is value-destructive in aggregate. Supporting metrics show ROE at 0.01% and ROA at 0.60%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that likely needs operating improvement before returns quality can be considered durable.

Valuation

Valuation currently screens at trailing P/E of 19.55, forward P/E of 23.68, PEG of 19.68. Trailing and forward P/E are close together, implying the market does not expect a significant change in the earnings trajectory over the near term. At this PEG level, the company is priced generously relative to its expected earnings trajectory — execution risk is meaningfully priced in. The aggregate current ratio of 5.84 reflects a company with strong liquidity buffers against short-term stress. The valuation profile here is neither obviously cheap nor dramatically expensive — a setup where the return case is built more on earnings delivery than on re-rating potential.

Margins & Cash Generation

From gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 8.43%, operating margin at 0.69%, and free cash flow margin at 0.62%. At this level, gross margins signal that pricing power is constrained and direct cost management is a key performance driver. At this level, operating margins signal that earnings quality is limited — a feature of growth-stage or restructuring businesses. The company's FCF margin signals that most revenue is being consumed before reaching the free cash flow line — a feature of early-stage or heavily invested businesses. The margin profile is mixed, with some layers more resilient than others and less room for execution slippage.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Combining revenue momentum with analyst targets, the estimated 12-month price change of 6.71%, where target-based return potential appears limited without multiple expansion, while TTM revenue growth of 11.75% reflecting moderate but reliable revenue progress across the company. Separating operating reality from market-implied expectations is useful here — they can diverge meaningfully when sentiment shifts. The forward return case hinges on whether the operating reality stays close enough to analyst assumptions for those targets to remain credible. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Multiple risk flags are present across the metrics reviewed. While the picture could improve, the current setup favors careful monitoring over confident positioning.

This summary is based on publicly available quantitative data and is not intended as investment advice. Carefully consider your personal financial circumstances before making any decisions.