ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

Dividend
0.57%
Previous close
$198.00
Est. 12 months change
-7.36%
Projected Price
$183.29

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
23.99%
Return on Assets (ROA)
17.06%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
21.74%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
10.95%
ROIC - WACC
10.79%
Updated : 2026-04-03 19:36 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
40.95
Forward P/E
39.26
PEG Ratio
4.28
Debt Current Ratio
1.44

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
35.99%
Operating Margin
24.76%
FCF Margin
17.38%
TTM Revenue Growth
-5.48%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
4.30%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
3.65%
Price % from 200 SMA
23.03%
6 Months
40.83%
1 Year
16.40%
2 Years
-8.57%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing ODFL as a top holding :ODFL ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

Old Dominion Freight Line is one of the largest US less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking carriers, known for its premium service quality and disciplined operational execution. Sector: Industrials.

Overview

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

From a returns-on-capital standpoint, ROIC is 21.74%, WACC is 10.95%, and the economic spread is 10.79%. On balance, the company is generating returns that comfortably clear their cost of capital, a reliable indicator of competitive durability. Supporting metrics show ROE at 23.99% and ROA at 17.06%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company with credible compounding capacity if current operating execution persists.

Valuation

The market currently prices the company at trailing P/E of 40.95, forward P/E of 39.26, PEG of 4.28. The gap between P/E and forward P/E is small, suggesting the valuation is not contingent on a near-term earnings step-change. The PEG ratio signals premium pricing — the company's earnings growth expectations, while present, do not fully explain the current multiple on a purely quantitative basis. The aggregate current ratio of 1.44 points to tighter short-term liquidity across the company. Valuation and liquidity together frame a company where the price paid today is a reasonable bet on earnings delivery — but not a margin-of-safety purchase at current levels.

Margins & Cash Generation

On profitability at each income statement layer, gross margin sits at 35.99%, operating margin at 24.76%, and free cash flow margin at 17.38%. Gross margins are moderate, pointing to the company where unit economics are functional but not a source of structural advantage. At this operating margin level, the the company demonstrate competent cost management and reasonable earnings durability. Free cash flow margins are strong, reflecting capital-efficient businesses that largely self-fund their growth. Taken together, margins are adequate but uneven, suggesting earnings quality is not uniformly strong across all levels.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Looking at growth and market-implied direction, TTM revenue growth of -5.48% reflecting difficult operating conditions that are showing up in aggregate top-line numbers. At the same time, the estimated 12-month price change of -7.43%, where target-based expectations currently skew to downside. It's worth distinguishing between what businesses are actually delivering and what the market is being asked to believe about the next 12 months. Maintaining alignment between reported results and forward estimates is particularly important in periods where macro uncertainty is elevated. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

The data points toward a risk profile that merits restraint — until the economic spread, growth trajectory, or valuation improve meaningfully, a cautious approach is the more defensible posture.

The analysis above draws from quantitative data only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. Investors should conduct independent research and consider professional guidance before acting on any information presented here.