SMCI Super Micro Computer Inc

Previous close
$23.22
Est. 12 months change
+58.55%
Projected Price
$36.95

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
13.32%
Return on Assets (ROA)
4.55%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
10.96%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
9.95%
ROIC - WACC
1.02%
Updated : 2026-04-03 19:11 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
17.14
Forward P/E
8.56
PEG Ratio
0.28
Debt Current Ratio
1.70

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
8.02%
Operating Margin
3.68%
FCF Margin
1.57%
TTM Revenue Growth
123.36%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
100.35%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
-21.66%
Price % from 200 SMA
-41.78%
6 Months
-55.77%
1 Year
-33.83%
2 Years
-77.01%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing SMCI as a top holding :SMCI ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

Super Micro Computer designs and manufactures high-performance server systems, workstations, and storage platforms, with a growing focus on AI infrastructure. Sector: Technology.

Overview

Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Examining the company through a capital allocation lens, ROIC is 10.96%, WACC is 9.95%, and the economic spread is 1.02%. On balance, the company is generating returns above their cost of capital, though the margin is slim enough to warrant attention. Supporting metrics show ROE at 13.32% and ROA at 4.55%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that is value-creative but with less room for execution slippage.

Valuation

Valuation currently screens at trailing P/E of 17.14, forward P/E of 8.56, PEG of 0.28. Trailing and forward multiples are somewhat apart, indicating the market is pricing measured earnings growth without aggressive expansion assumptions. A PEG below 1.5 implies the company's growth rate is not fully reflected in the current multiple — a constructive signal for growth-adjusted value. The aggregate current ratio of 1.70 reflects a company with workable near-term liquidity positions. The valuation profile here is neither obviously cheap nor dramatically expensive — a setup where the return case is built more on earnings delivery than on re-rating potential.

Margins & Cash Generation

From gross to free cash flow, gross margin sits at 8.02%, operating margin at 3.68%, and free cash flow margin at 1.57%. At this level, gross margins signal that pricing power is constrained and direct cost management is a key performance driver. At this level, operating margins signal that earnings quality is limited — a feature of growth-stage or restructuring businesses. The company's FCF margin signals that most revenue is being consumed before reaching the free cash flow line — a feature of early-stage or heavily invested businesses. The margin profile is mixed, with some layers more resilient than others and less room for execution slippage.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Revenue momentum and analyst targets together paint a picture where the estimated 12-month price change of 59.14%, where analysts are collectively positioned for a material move higher, while TTM revenue growth of 123.36% reflecting top-line acceleration that, if sustained, supports the forward earnings case. Reported revenue growth is the operational foundation; the analyst target spread shows what the market is willing to pay above it — and that premium can evaporate quickly if delivery slips. For investors, the central question is whether the operating momentum visible in revenues is durable enough to support the price appreciation implied by consensus targets. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Strong Buy

When all the evidence is placed side by side, this profile stands out as one with genuine compounding characteristics and limited structural headwinds.

This summary is based on publicly available quantitative data and is not intended as investment advice. Carefully consider your personal financial circumstances before making any decisions.