SPOT Spotify Technology SA

Previous close
$488.97
Est. 12 months change
+38.33%
Projected Price
$678.30

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
32.44%
Return on Assets (ROA)
13.48%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
60.33%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
14.05%
ROIC - WACC
46.28%
Updated : 2026-04-03 20:58 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
44.99
Forward P/E
32.58
PEG Ratio
1.32
Debt Current Ratio
1.72

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
31.98%
Operating Margin
12.80%
FCF Margin
16.61%
TTM Revenue Growth
6.81%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
38.11%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
-0.41%
Price % from 200 SMA
-20.50%
6 Months
-30.87%
1 Year
-13.52%
2 Years
81.38%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing SPOT as a top holding :SPOT ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

Spotify Technology operates the world's largest music streaming service, expanding into podcasts, audiobooks, and AI-driven content discovery. Sector: Communication Services.

Overview

Spotify Technology SA (SPOT) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

Through the lens of capital efficiency, ROIC is 60.33%, WACC is 14.05%, and the economic spread is 46.28%. On balance, reinvested capital is working exceptionally hard, with operating returns clearing the funding cost hurdle by a wide margin. Supporting metrics show ROE at 32.44% and ROA at 13.48%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company with credible compounding capacity if current operating execution persists.

Valuation

On a multiple basis, the company trades at trailing P/E of 44.99, forward P/E of 32.58, PEG of 1.32. The trailing-to-forward compression is notable, pointing to an earnings growth narrative that, if delivered, would make current valuations more defensible. The PEG reading here is low enough to suggest investors are not being asked to overpay for the growth embedded in analyst estimates. The company's weighted current ratio of 1.72 reflects adequate near-term financial stability. The valuation setup is broadly consistent with a market that is pricing growth without being reckless about it — a balanced but not cautious stance.

Margins & Cash Generation

The margin profile breaks down as follows: gross margin sits at 31.98%, operating margin at 12.80%, and free cash flow margin at 16.61%. The gross margin profile here is adequate rather than impressive, consistent with more competitively priced industries. Operating margins are modest, suggesting overhead costs are consuming a meaningful share of gross profit. The company's FCF margin is healthy, indicating solid cash conversion after capital expenditure needs. This stack calls for monitoring: profitability is present, but conversion from revenue to operating income to free cash is not fully consistent.

Growth & Forward Outlook

The growth and outlook picture reads as follows: TTM revenue growth of 6.81% pointing to reasonable revenue execution across the company. In parallel, analyst consensus projects significant upside from current levels based on current consensus targets. The gap between trailing fundamentals and forward expectations matters most at inflection points — and the current environment is not without those. For long-term holders, the central question is whether today's execution quality is a leading indicator of what's already priced into analyst targets. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Strong Buy

Reviewed in aggregate, this is a high-quality profile with few clear structural weaknesses — a combination that historically tends to support above-average long-term outcomes.

The analysis above draws from quantitative data only and does not constitute personalized financial advice. Investors should conduct independent research and consider professional guidance before acting on any information presented here.