STRL Sterling Infrastructure Inc

Previous close
$603.89
Est. 12 months change
+32.27%
Projected Price
$800.76

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
39.30%
Return on Assets (ROA)
15.37%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
31.12%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
15.74%
ROIC - WACC
15.38%
Updated : 2026-08-17 18:32 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
43.54
Forward P/E
30.43
PEG Ratio
0.93
Debt Current Ratio
1.11

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
23.81%
Operating Margin
18.13%
FCF Margin
14.02%
TTM Revenue Growth
90.11%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
43.07%

Price Change

Price % from 50 SMA
1.73%
Price % from 200 SMA
24.39%
6 Months
18.39%
1 Year
251.46%
2 Years
294.75%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing STRL as a top holding :STRL ETFs

Analysis

Company Overview

Sterling Infrastructure builds and maintains e-infrastructure including data centers, warehouses, transportation networks, and water infrastructure. Sector: Industrials.

Overview

Sterling Infrastructure Inc (STRL) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

From a returns-on-capital standpoint, ROIC is 31.12%, WACC is 15.74%, and the economic spread is 15.38%. On balance, the company is generating returns that comfortably clear their cost of capital, a reliable indicator of competitive durability. Supporting metrics show ROE at 39.30% and ROA at 15.37%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company with credible compounding capacity if current operating execution persists.

Valuation

The company's current market valuation reflects trailing P/E of 43.54, forward P/E of 30.43, PEG of 0.93. Forward P/E is significantly below trailing, indicating that consensus expects earnings to grow — making the company appear cheaper when viewed on anticipated profits. On a PEG basis, the company screens as attractively priced relative to its expected earnings growth. The aggregate current ratio of 1.11 points to tighter short-term liquidity across the company. Across multiples and liquidity, the company is priced in a way that reflects current expectations reasonably well — leaving limited room for error, but also limited near-term downside from valuation compression alone.

Margins & Cash Generation

On profitability at each income statement layer, gross margin sits at 23.81%, operating margin at 18.13%, and free cash flow margin at 14.02%. Gross margins are moderate, pointing to the company where unit economics are functional but not a source of structural advantage. At this operating margin level, the the company demonstrate competent cost management and reasonable earnings durability. Free cash flow margins are moderate, with a meaningful but not exceptional share of revenue converting to cash after capex. Taken together, margins are adequate but uneven, suggesting earnings quality is not uniformly strong across all levels.

Growth & Forward Outlook

Looking at growth and market-implied direction, TTM revenue growth of 90.11% indicating that revenue growth remains a meaningful tailwind for the company. At the same time, the estimated 12-month price change of 32.60%, where target-based upside appears notably strong in the current setup. It's worth distinguishing between what businesses are actually delivering and what the market is being asked to believe about the next 12 months. Maintaining alignment between reported results and forward estimates is particularly important in periods where macro uncertainty is elevated. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Strong Buy

The composite of ROIC spread, valuation, revenue momentum, and analyst expectations delivers a rare alignment of quality and growth that justifies elevated conviction.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.