TPLC Timothy Plan US Large/Mid Cap Core ETF

Timothy Plan US Large/Mid Cap Core ETF (TPLC) currently reports 271 stock positions (subject to change), placing it in the broadly constructed range by holdings breadth. The top line-up is CNP (0.76%), EVRG (0.72%), ATO (0.71%), with CNP as the largest single weight at 0.76%. Together, the top three holdings account for 2.19%, which suggests the fund is not overly reliant on its largest positions to generate returns. The fund's architecture positions it to benefit from strength in its top holdings while the broader basket provides a degree of insulation against single-name shocks.

Looking at how effectively the underlying holdings deploy capital, ROIC is 18.73%, WACC is 8.50%, and the economic spread is 10.23%. On balance, returns on invested capital exceed the cost of funding by a comfortable margin, which over time compounds favorably for long-term holders. Supporting metrics show ROE at 24.49% and ROA at 7.60%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a portfolio with credible compounding capacity if current operating execution persists.

On valuation, the portfolio registers trailing P/E of 23.55, forward P/E of 18.81, PEG of 2.53. The minimal trailing-to-forward compression implies limited earnings growth expectations are embedded in current prices. The PEG ratio is elevated relative to historical norms, implying the market is paying a meaningful premium for the earnings trajectory embedded in analyst estimates. A current ratio reading of 1.81 points to holdings that are managing short-term obligations without apparent stress. Taken together, the multiple and liquidity picture suggests a portfolio that is priced for a constructive outcome — but where execution against earnings estimates will be the key determinant of whether that price is justified.

Across the three margin layers, gross margin sits at 44.79%, operating margin at 20.53%, and free cash flow margin at 17.47%. Gross margins sit in a healthy range, consistent with businesses that manage input costs effectively. Operating margins are in good shape, consistent with businesses that maintain reasonable earnings conversion after overhead. At this level, free cash flow margins suggest businesses that are building financial strength alongside revenue growth. Read together, these margin levels suggest a portfolio where earnings durability is present in parts but not consistent across the full holding set.

On a forward-looking basis, TTM revenue growth of 12.54% a signal of steady demand without the volatility of high-growth names, while the estimated 12-month price change of 14.65%, where the target distribution indicates incremental upside rather than outsized repricing. Revenue growth and price targets are correlated but not the same — strong operations do not always translate to strong price appreciation, and vice versa. The forward return case rests on whether the businesses can sustain their operating trajectory long enough for analyst price targets to be reached or exceeded. The estimated 12-month price change is a weighted composite of analyst price target estimates adjusted by each holding's ETF weight, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Balancing the strengths against the areas of uncertainty, the weight of evidence favors an optimistic view with appropriate risk awareness.

This assessment reflects quantitative metrics only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.