WCN Waste Connections Inc

Dividend
0.80%
Previous close
$166.08
Est. 12 months change
+20.99%
Projected Price
$201.29

Profitability Metrics

Return on Equity (ROE)
13.32%
Return on Assets (ROA)
5.33%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
7.43%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
6.83%
ROIC - WACC
0.60%
Updated : 2026-04-06 08:43 ET

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio
39.83
Forward P/E
30.45
PEG Ratio
2.37
Debt Current Ratio
0.62

Growth & Cash Flow

Gross Margin
42.37%
Operating Margin
19.00%
FCF Margin
12.88%
TTM Revenue Growth
5.00%
Projected 12M EPS Growth
30.80%
Click here to see the list of ETFs containing WCN as a top holding :WCN ETFs

Analysis

Overview

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) is an individual stock. The analysis below presents key financial metrics for the company, covering profitability, capital efficiency, valuation, margins, and growth.

Profitability & Capital Efficiency

From a capital efficiency perspective, ROIC is 7.43%, WACC is 6.83%, and the economic spread is 0.60%. On balance, the company marginally exceed their cost of capital, suggesting modest but present value creation. Supporting metrics show ROE at 13.32% and ROA at 5.33%, a combination that helps frame whether profitability strength is broad enough to hold through different market conditions. Taken together, the return profile suggests a company that is value-creative but with less room for execution slippage.

Valuation

Turning to how the market is pricing the underlying earnings, trailing P/E of 39.83, forward P/E of 30.45, PEG of 2.37. A moderate trailing-to-forward spread implies earnings growth is anticipated, though the scale of expected improvement is not dramatic. A PEG in this range suggests valuation is fair rather than compelling — the company is priced adequately for its growth, with limited buffer for downside revisions. At 0.62, the aggregate current ratio reflects the company with limited near-term liquidity buffer. The combined picture across P/E, forward P/E, PEG, and current ratio suggests a company that is priced for continued execution — where disappointment would be costly and outperformance would likely require positive earnings surprises.

Margins & Cash Generation

On the margin front: gross margin sits at 42.37%, operating margin at 19.00%, and free cash flow margin at 12.88%. At this level, the company reflects reasonable cost discipline and adequate pricing leverage at the production layer. Operating margins sit in a healthy range — not exceptional, but indicating reasonable operational efficiency. Moderate free cash flow margins suggest the company that generate cash but rely on continued revenue growth to sustain reinvestment capacity. The combined margin read is functional rather than exceptional, which can increase sensitivity to cost pressure or slower demand.

Growth & Forward Outlook

The two main inputs to the near-term picture — TTM revenue growth of 5.00% reflecting consistent if unspectacular revenue expansion. Consensus EPS estimates point to 30.8% earnings growth over the next 12 months — a compelling near-term earnings catalyst that, if delivered, changes the valuation conversation materially. Analyst price targets suggest street expectations imply a constructive but measured return profile on a 12-month view. Revenue momentum establishes the baseline; analyst price targets reveal how much the market is already paying for future execution on top of that baseline. Delivered returns will ultimately be shaped by the gap — or lack thereof — between operating execution and the expectations embedded in current prices. The estimated 12-month price change is based on analyst consensus price target estimates, sourced from publicly available data, and should not be interpreted as a reliable prediction of future performance.

Conclusion

Buy

The composite picture leans positive, with capital efficiency and growth momentum providing the core of the investment thesis.

This assessment is based solely on the quantitative metrics presented above and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consider their own risk tolerance and conduct independent research before making investment decisions.